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LEGO 40640 LEGO Nutcracker

LEGO 40640 LEGO Nutcracker

set number 40640 · Seasonal · released 2023 · retail $12.99

Discontinued · Jul 2025Common

Lifecycle data records LEGO 40640 LEGO Nutcracker as discontinued, dated Jul 2025. Verified complete-set listings currently start at $10.92 delivered, against $12.99 original retail. The scarcity signal reads common, with about 28 active listings tracked, so there is no supply pressure on asking prices yet. Every figure on this page is a calculated market estimate built from active listing data.

Complete-set valuation

Calculated market estimate $15.99
Lowest verified complete set $10.92 · range $10.92–$10.92
Based on 28 verified complete-set listings. Parts, instructions, minifigures and accessories are excluded.
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Complete sets — new / sealed

Compared with Seasonal

This set: asking prices are +23.1% vs original retail ($3.00) · Seasonal median: +53.9% (19 eligible sets).

This is how other Seasonal sets that have already retired are priced today. It is not a prediction for any set. Based on current asking prices for verified complete sets on active listings, not completed sales. Past asking-price movement is not a prediction of future value.

Seasonal retired-set price data →

Market Performance Score

36/100
  • Appreciation vs theme median (35% weight)24/100
    +23.1% vs retail · theme median +53.9% (-30.8% difference)
  • Scarcity signal (25% weight)31/100
    Scarcity score 31/100 from ownership data and live supply
  • Demand pressure (20% weight)12/100
    284 want-list vs 4676 owners (ratio 0.06)
  • Data confidence (20% weight)89/100
    26 verified comps · snapshot 8 days old

Based on current asking prices for verified complete sets. Past asking-price movement is not a prediction of future value.

How this score is calculated

The score describes where this set sits in the current market. It is not advice, a forecast, or an expected return.

Appreciation vs theme median (35%) — this set's current asking median against original retail, compared with the median of already-retired sets in the same theme.

Scarcity signal (25%) — ownership data and live active-listing supply. Never a production quantity: LEGO does not publish those.

Demand pressure (20%) — want-list entries divided by owners.

Data confidence (20%) — how many verified complete-set listings sit behind the median, and how recent the weekly snapshot is.

Eligibility thresholds — a per-set figure needs a confirmed retirement date, a known original retail price, at least 5 verified complete-set listings and at least six months since retirement. A theme median needs at least 8 eligible sets. Below any threshold nothing is published.

Based on current asking prices for verified complete sets on active listings, not completed sales. Past asking-price movement is not a prediction of future value.

Browse current 40640 listings on eBay →

This opens an eBay keyword search for “LEGO 40640”. Results are unfiltered live listings — they are not verified complete sets and carry no price estimate from us. Affiliate link disclosure.

Own this set? Photo Search it to price your copy →Hunting deals like this? Deal Finder →
Retiring soon, listed under retail →Retired sets still under retail →

Figures are typical asking prices from active listing data, not completed sales.

Calculated market estimate over time

2026-08-03 – 2026-09-28 · $15.99 latest

Checked 2026-10-02 · lifecycle data from Brickset. Based on Brickset ownership data + live eBay supply — LEGO does not publish production figures.

Related Seasonal sets

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