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LEGO 40744 Christmas Ornament Selection

LEGO 40744 Christmas Ornament Selection

set number 40744 · Seasonal · released 2024 · retail $12.99

Recently retired · Mar 2026Moderate

Lifecycle data records LEGO 40744 Christmas Ornament Selection as recently retired, dated Mar 2026. The lowest verified complete-set listing we track is $9.25 delivered (open-box) — at or under the $12.99 original retail price. The scarcity signal is moderate, with around 38 active listings tracked — a supply-and-demand proxy only. Prices below are calculated market estimates from active listings, not completed sales.

Complete-set valuation

Calculated market estimate $19.98
Lowest verified complete set $9.25 · range $9.25–$12.99
Based on 38 verified complete-set listings. Parts, instructions, minifigures and accessories are excluded.
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Complete sets — new / sealed

Compared with Seasonal

This set: asking prices are +53.8% vs original retail ($6.99) · Seasonal median: +53.9% (19 eligible sets).

This is how other Seasonal sets that have already retired are priced today. It is not a prediction for any set. Based on current asking prices for verified complete sets on active listings, not completed sales. Past asking-price movement is not a prediction of future value.

Seasonal retired-set price data →

Market Performance Score

50/100
  • Appreciation vs theme median (35% weight)50/100
    +53.8% vs retail · theme median +53.9% (-0.1% difference)
  • Scarcity signal (25% weight)40/100
    Scarcity score 40/100 from ownership data and live supply
  • Demand pressure (20% weight)21/100
    315 want-list vs 3002 owners (ratio 0.10)
  • Data confidence (20% weight)89/100
    33 verified comps · snapshot 8 days old

Based on current asking prices for verified complete sets. Past asking-price movement is not a prediction of future value.

How this score is calculated

The score describes where this set sits in the current market. It is not advice, a forecast, or an expected return.

Appreciation vs theme median (35%) — this set's current asking median against original retail, compared with the median of already-retired sets in the same theme.

Scarcity signal (25%) — ownership data and live active-listing supply. Never a production quantity: LEGO does not publish those.

Demand pressure (20%) — want-list entries divided by owners.

Data confidence (20%) — how many verified complete-set listings sit behind the median, and how recent the weekly snapshot is.

Eligibility thresholds — a per-set figure needs a confirmed retirement date, a known original retail price, at least 5 verified complete-set listings and at least six months since retirement. A theme median needs at least 8 eligible sets. Below any threshold nothing is published.

Based on current asking prices for verified complete sets on active listings, not completed sales. Past asking-price movement is not a prediction of future value.

Browse current 40744 listings on eBay →

This opens an eBay keyword search for “LEGO 40744”. Results are unfiltered live listings — they are not verified complete sets and carry no price estimate from us. Affiliate link disclosure.

Figures are typical asking prices from active listing data, not completed sales.

Calculated market estimate over time

2026-08-03 – 2026-09-28 · $19.98 latest

Checked 2026-10-01 · lifecycle data from Brickset. Based on Brickset ownership data + live eBay supply — LEGO does not publish production figures.

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