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LEGO 40821 Love Bears

LEGO 40821 Love Bears

set number 40821 · Seasonal · released 2025 · retail $14.99

Recently retired · Nov 2025Moderate

Lifecycle data records LEGO 40821 Love Bears as recently retired, dated Nov 2025. Original retail was $14.99; we have no verified complete-set listing for it right now. The scarcity signal is moderate, with around 35 active listings tracked — a supply-and-demand proxy only. Prices below are calculated market estimates from active listings, not completed sales.

Complete-set valuation

Calculated market estimate $26.48
Lowest verified complete set —
Based on 35 verified complete-set listings. Parts, instructions, minifigures and accessories are excluded.
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Compared with Seasonal

This set: asking prices are +81.5% vs original retail ($12.21) · Seasonal median: +53.9% (19 eligible sets).

This is how other Seasonal sets that have already retired are priced today. It is not a prediction for any set. Based on current asking prices for verified complete sets on active listings, not completed sales. Past asking-price movement is not a prediction of future value.

Seasonal retired-set price data →

Market Performance Score

63/100
  • Appreciation vs theme median (35% weight)73/100
    +81.5% vs retail · theme median +53.9% (+27.6% difference)
  • Scarcity signal (25% weight)61/100
    Scarcity score 61/100 from ownership data and live supply
  • Demand pressure (20% weight)48/100
    249 want-list vs 1040 owners (ratio 0.24)
  • Data confidence (20% weight)61/100
    36 verified comps · snapshot 29 days old

Based on current asking prices for verified complete sets. Past asking-price movement is not a prediction of future value.

How this score is calculated

The score describes where this set sits in the current market. It is not advice, a forecast, or an expected return.

Appreciation vs theme median (35%) — this set's current asking median against original retail, compared with the median of already-retired sets in the same theme.

Scarcity signal (25%) — ownership data and live active-listing supply. Never a production quantity: LEGO does not publish those.

Demand pressure (20%) — want-list entries divided by owners.

Data confidence (20%) — how many verified complete-set listings sit behind the median, and how recent the weekly snapshot is.

Eligibility thresholds — a per-set figure needs a confirmed retirement date, a known original retail price, at least 5 verified complete-set listings and at least six months since retirement. A theme median needs at least 8 eligible sets. Below any threshold nothing is published.

Based on current asking prices for verified complete sets on active listings, not completed sales. Past asking-price movement is not a prediction of future value.

Browse current 40821 listings on eBay →

This opens an eBay keyword search for “LEGO 40821”. Results are unfiltered live listings — they are not verified complete sets and carry no price estimate from us. Affiliate link disclosure.

Own this set? Photo Search it to price your copy →Hunting deals like this? Deal Finder →
Retiring soon, listed under retail →Retired sets still under retail →

Figures are typical asking prices from active listing data, not completed sales.

Calculated market estimate over time

2026-08-03 – 2026-09-28 · $26.48 latest

Checked 2026-10-05 · lifecycle data from Brickset. Based on Brickset ownership data + live eBay supply — LEGO does not publish production figures.

Related Seasonal sets

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