Do LEGO Icons sets go up in value? Retired set data
Retired LEGO Icons sets currently ask a median of +44.1% versus original retail, across 11 eligible sets. Mean +33% · median annualised change +22.1% · middle half of sets between +0.3% and +59.4% · full range -20% to +73.1%.
Based on current asking prices for verified complete sets on active listings, not completed sales. Past asking-price movement is not a prediction of future value.
Highest asking prices vs retail
- 40646 Daffodils +73.1%
- 10325 Alpine Lodge +65.6%
- 10303 Loop Coaster +59.4%
- 10339 Santa's Post Office +50%
- 10391 Over the Moon with Pharrell Williams +49.9%
Lowest asking prices vs retail
Eligible retired Icons sets (11)
| Retail | Asking median | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40646 Daffodils | $14.99 | $25.95 | +73.1% | 2.8 | +22.1% |
| 10325 Alpine Lodge | $99.99 | $165.61 | +65.6% | 0.9 | +73.8% |
| 10303 Loop Coaster | $399.99 | $637.45 | +59.4% | 1.8 | +29.8% |
| 10339 Santa's Post Office | $99.99 | $149.98 | +50% | 0.9 | +59.5% |
| 10391 Over the Moon with Pharrell Williams | $109.99 | $164.90 | +49.9% | 0.8 | +60.8% |
| 10304 Chevrolet Camaro Z/28 1969 | $169.99 | $245.00 | +44.1% | 1.8 | +22.5% |
| 10321 Corvette | $149.99 | $211.25 | +40.8% | 1.9 | +20.4% |
| 10298 Vespa 125 | $99.99 | $107.00 | +7% | 0.8 | +8.9% |
| 10317 Land Rover Classic Defender 90 | $239.99 | $240.72 | +0.3% | 0.6 | +0.5% |
| 10355 Blacktron Renegade | $99.99 | $92.99 | -7% | 0.7 | -9.6% |
| 10314 Dried Flower Centrepiece | $49.99 | $39.99 | -20% | 1.3 | -15.8% |
Methodology
Eligibility: a confirmed retirement date, a known original retail price, at least 5 verified complete-set listings in the latest weekly snapshot, and at least six months since retirement. Only verified complete sets count — parts, minifigures, manuals, accessories and conflicting models are excluded by the complete-set classifier. Annualised change is the compound change from original retail to the current asking median over the years since retirement; periods shorter than six months are never annualised. No trimming is applied to the median — quartiles and the full range are published so outliers remain visible. A theme median is only published at 8 or more eligible sets.